A common assumption among American and other Western analysts and officials is that the US-led international coalition’s air strikes will weaken Islamic State (IS), if not eliminate it.
The main aim of American analysts and officials is to change the way Arabs and Muslims see IS, as an entity fighting Zionist, American and European forces in the Middle East and the Arab world, since IS had claimed to have redrawn the region’s map and restored it to what it was before the Sykes-Picot agreement of 1916.
Analysts and officials try through the media, commercial outlets and systemic programmes to brainwash Arab and Muslim minds that IS is a terrorist group that kills in the name of Islam. However, Islam disassociates itself from the actions of IS.
Notably, IS operations against the Iraqi government are increasing since it possesses the element of surprise when attacking, and human resources that contribute to a big extent to its success in executing operations.
This has become clear over the past few days in Iraqi cities like Fallujah. This also explains the limitations of what can be more or less described as the international American coalition.
According to military analysts, air strikes are not enough to resolve the war on the ground. The media, directed by America and the West (generally by Zionist forces) — besides the Arab media that follows it and implements its agenda — does not want to report this situation.
Some American strategic studies centres studied the option of fighting IS on the ground but found it useless from the military and strategic points of view; the likely financial and human costs were illustrated by the number of innocents killed in Kobane.
It is clear to those who follow the IS media, especially its radio station (IS not only has a television station but also produces newspapers and other publications) that IS keeps its tactics secret to try and neutralise the superiority of its enemies in the air.
This explains why these air strikes, thousands of which may have been carried out so far, directed by American, French and British forces, targeted a small area on the map, in Kobani, which is part of Aleppo governorate in northern Syria. This city’s population is around 192,500. IS, meanwhile, has ignored the strikes and hit Iraq.
As for the media, there is no doubt that what IS broadcasts has a big impact. The popularity of IS is on the rise, as was noticed recently after the events in Paris. The IS radio station aired a special report supporting and praising the two attacks in Paris.
It said that the operations were part of the war against the US, the West and Zionists who insult Islam and its most important figure, the Prophet Muhammad (PBUH). The Paris events served the ideology of IS and were supported by Arabs and Muslims.
Of course, in this analysis were are not considering the view that IS is an American, Western and Zionist creation. We are just looking at current events without considering this conspiracy theory.
It is noticeable that IS benefits from the shortcomings of Al Qaeda, as the former has already begun establishing the core of a strong state. Regional circumstances will probably help them, as America does not favour the use of ground forces, since it is busy with Asian affairs. Besides, it has withdrawn its combat troops from the Middle East.
Speaking about the American-led international coalition, it is meant to protect America’s interests in Iraq, in particular.
America managed to bring to an end the liberal Sunni regime led by Saddam Hussein, and replaced it with a Shia government, and doesn’t want the Sunni-Salafi rule to return as it endangers Israel at the geo-strategic level.
It is known that Western and American policies in the Middle East are aimed at protecting Israel and ensuring its existence. This is according to American books, which were later banned and their authors, who were Americans or anti-Zionist Jews, tracked down.